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Thanks for covering this. I grew up in Plainfield on the footprint of this thing and it was very much a life-changer for everyone in the area. As kids in Plainfield most of us grew up weather aware, learning from a young age how to read basic reflectivity, identify basic cloud structures and having an understanding of storm safety protocols…and we were basically taught that the NWS isn’t gonna ever be able to catch and warn everything, so we need to be educated to take things into our own hands if need be. I think that’s the one good thing that came out of this tornado- it influenced the creation of a locally more weather-aware community that then moved other places and took their knowledge to new places.

Hey! I lived less than a mile from that Clarksville tornado, that was a fun day. I was working a couple miles south of the path and it took me two hours to get home due to the damage. That night I went driving around and documenting damage and over that day I drew out a path of damage on my own and got really close to the NWS path.

It is crazy to see this Moderate Risk for wind and hail today. Even more so that it could be a derecho, which already occurred a couple of days ago in Houston. Hopefully everyone makes it through the storms from now through however long this stretch of severe weather lasts. I do have a question: does the normal wind speed and wind gust in an area play a role in whether or not severe weather takes place? For example, an area that is at risk for severe storms but the wind speed that day is like 8 mph and gusts at 12 mph?

Would you predict a concerning tornado threat on Wednesday for Indianapolis?

Last Thursday, May9th, we had something akin to what happened in Houston. We were not tornado warned, but the line of storms was bowing out, with a tornado possible tag. In Cleveland Tenn, there was hundreds of downed huge tress, and several barns was destroyed, and some roof damage where the winds was the worse. Straight line winds was terrible, looked just like the videos of what happened in Houston. I hate people may very well get worse than that, if they get as high as the WC is predicting. I’ll be praying for all of you in the line of these storms today, and in the following days. Please don’t be driving in that folks!!! Be safe. Gid bless all of you🙏🙏🙏♥️

🍿... destructive thunderstorm warnings enjoyers... damaging gust fronts... microbursts... chonky hail.

Is Alpena Michigan in the clear from severe weather for the next few days?

Dear Heavenly Father, We come to you seeking your protection and mercy as severe weather approaches. Calm the storms, still the winds, and quiet the thunder. Protect us, our loved ones, and our communities from harm. Keep us safe from the dangers of the storm, and shelter us under your loving care. We pray for those who are vulnerable, especially the elderly, children, and those in poverty. Please keep them safe and provide for their needs. May your peace and calm be upon us, and may your grace sustain us through this challenging time. In Jesus' name, we pray. Amen! ✝️ Remember, God is our rock and our refuge in times of trouble. May He keep us all safe and secure!

Wonder if we’re going to have two derecho events in a week period. Hopefully not like the Iowa August Derecho event 😬

Tornado risk COULD ramp up with a discrete oklahoma cell around and after dark

As always a great dissection of current and future weather.

Seems to be a very real chance of a derecho today

This looks like a potential serial derecho event. Will be interesting to see how this evolves this evening and overnight.

Wow. If nothing else, it's certainly gonna be eventful. Thanks Trey👍

Thanks, Trey! I hope everybody is spared the conditions that Houston experienced the other day 😬

We now have a 45% hail area too. Given the 5% tornado threat with 45% hatched wind & hail areas we will very likely get a PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch today.

Could Tuesday be a severe weather/tornado outbreak?! It already sounds significant and CSU MLP is showing almost 70% of probabilities

45 sig hail now!

What does the blue dashed line and solid cyan line represent in the sounding skew t plot? Do they measure adiabats, pressure, lapse rates?

Great video Trey 👍😁, this is looking like a potent damaging Wind event for today

Could this be a derecho event?

Is this kind of setup the same for tuesdays weather event?

Learning a great deal from you. You are a good lecturer and now I can see what you were teaching in your skew-t series and in general. Thanks so much from someone with weather anxiety. Good to understand the environment so I can take the correct actions.

Sounds like storms will fire right over my head in Garden City. Great video Trey!

I can already predict the face of trey waking up, seeing the spc on a moderate risk 😂 then seeing its a wind risk not tornado risk, so less chase chase, so he goes back to eating breakfast 😂 @ConvectiveChronicles

Been a long while since we have seen the MDT wind driven risk. I THINK not since either the huge Iowa wind event last year in March or maybe that year the year before. One of those it was for that insane arc of storms around one of the lows...I know it was not the Keota, IA tornado event.....drawing a blank off this overnight shift. Anyway this does have an all hazards threat especially tornadoes information as long as these stay discrete for as the conditions are rip and hell we may see a goood number in parts of the ends of the derecho. Tell you what, this is gonna be very dangerous to chase. This will be one you will not be able to likely outrun as this is going to surge and we saw what happened in Houston on a 80-100mph event the other day...this will be far more widespread so if you are a chaser...this will feel like a cat 1 or 2 hurricane and this has potential to do more damage than a single tornado as these winds are sooo widespread and strong. Still, thisnis gonna be an unreal shelf cloud...people better get some god damn good photos of it before this runs into chasers out there.

never seen spc mention 100mpg winds in an outlook before

Nice thing about chasing in Iowa is the nice gravel roads in an every mile cross hatch. Generally not too many trees either. But the most amazing and artistic photos are still the ones coming from Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma. Of course I'm crazy enough to believe these states are gorgeous i.e. Flint Hills in Kansas 😁

Thank you for this great video / I have a question about what is called “ low level jet” / some summers here in eastern Oklahoma, we have had heavy rains, storms, and flooding, especially in July and August, the report will say that the low level jet starts up after dark and causes the storms to produce a lot of rain before it subsides in the morning / So this jet is something that occurs only at night? Thank you

Yay, been craving content

I think SPC is thinking storm initiation will happen as early as 10 or 11 on Tuesday like the last outbreak in Iowa and that’s why the 30% is further west

Derecho on Tuesday

You da man!

Tuesday is an avocado